Analysis of the expansion of the “New right to earlier pension” and the “Senior pension” scheme
There is wide support among the Danish population to allow the most debilitated workers to retire early. However, a proposal for a new early retirement scheme by the government is directed towards workers with many years in the labour market and does not consider whether the individual worker is in fact worn out. If adopted as-is, the government’s new proposal for early retirement would exist alongside the current senior pension scheme that is directed towards the most debilitated individuals. In our analysis, we compare the costs of expanding the eligibility of the current senior pension scheme to a wider age group versus the costs of expanding government’s new proposal for early retirement.
We find that an expansion of the existing senior pension scheme would bring 3.800 individuals to early retirement and only cost 26.000 DKK per person in 2025, while expanding the government’s proposal would bring 10.500 to early retirement and cost 98.000 DKK per person in 2025. This large difference is due to the fact that only few individuals who join the senior pension come from employment, whereas the opposite is the case for the government’s early retirement scheme.